Emre Acaroglu, Aysun Cetinyurek Yavuz, Umit Ozgur Guler, Selcen Yuksel, Yasemin Yavuz, Montse Domingo-Sabat, Ferran Pellise, Ahmet Alanay, Francesco Sanchez Perez Grueso, Frank Kleinstück, Ibrahim Obeid


July 2016, Volume 25, Issue 8, pp 2390 - 2400 Original Article Read Full Article 10.1007/s00586-016-4413-8

First Online: 28 January 2016

Background

Adult spinal deformity (ASD) is a major public health problem. There are pros and cons of the available treatment alternatives (surgical or non-surgical) and it had been difficult to identify the best treatment modality.

Aim

To construct a statistical DA model to identify the optimum overall treatment in ASD.

Methods

From an international multicentre database of ASD patients (968 pts), 535 who had completed 1 year follow-up (371 non-surgical—NS, 164 surgical—S), constitute the population of this study. DA was structured in two main steps of: (1) baseline analysis (assessing the probabilities of outcomes, assessing the values of preference—utilities-, combining information on probability and utility and assigning the quality adjusted life expectancy (QALE) for each treatment) and (2) sensitivity analysis.

Results

Four hundred and thirty-two patients (309 NS, 123 S) had baseline and 1 year follow-up ODI measurements. Overall, 104 (24.1 %) were found to be improved (a decrease in ODI > 8 points), 225 (52.1 %) unchanged (−8 > ODI > 8) and 65 deteriorated. Surgery presented with a higher chance of improvement (54.2 %) versus NS (9.7 %). The overall QALE ranged from 56 to 69 (of 100 years) and demonstrated better final QALE in the NS group (60 vs. 65, P = 0.0038), this group having started with higher QALE as well (56 vs. 65 years, P  25) surgery appeared to yield marginally better final QALE (58 vs. 56 years, P = 0.1) despite very a similar baseline (54 vs. 54 years, P = 0.93).

Discussion and conclusions

This study demonstrated that a single best treatment modality for ASD may not exist. Conservative treatment appears to yield higher (up to 6 %) QALE compared to surgery, most probably secondary to a higher baseline QALE. On the other hand, surgery provides a significantly higher increase in QALE. Especially in patients with significant disability at baseline, the final QALE tended higher in the S group (although not significant). Finally, chances of a relevant improvement at first year turned out to be significantly lower with NS treatment.


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